The Real Estate Corner Desert Market Update
NUMBER OF SALES
Home sales are up Valley-wide. The total three-month sales are up 2.9%. On a city by city basis, six cities show higher sales, with three; Palm Desert, Desert Hot Springs and Palm Springs showing the largest increase in sales.
The three cities with the largest sales declines are Indio, Indian Wells and Cathedral City.
INVENTORY OF HOMES FOR SALE
While home sales are up, inventories are down. Typically our inventories dip to to their lowest point every year toward the end of September, but this year inventories are even lower.
Low inventory acts as both a positive and negative; it’s positive for sellers and future home sellers as it tends to move home prices higher. But, it’s also a negative in that low inventory puts the brakes on the number of sales. If interest rates continue to increase, that can put a damper on sales as the cost of borrowing money for a mortgage becomes more expensive.
MONTHS SUPPLY OF HOMES FOR SALE BY CITY
The month’s of supply ratio is down valley-wide compared to one year ago in every city. Most have less than 4 month supply except two; La Quinta which currently has a 4.5 month supply and Indian Wells with a 6 month supply of homes to sell.
MONTHS SUPPLY OF HOMES FOR SALE BY PRICE BRACKETS
When we look at the supply of homes by price category, we see the supply is lower across all price brackets compared to one year ago. The biggest change is homes priced above $800,000. Last year the higher price points were taking 7.5 months – 1 year to sell. Now, it’s taking on average 5.3 – 8 months
The tipping point when using this metric is 6 month’s. 6 months is considered a “Balanced Market”, not particularly favoring either Home Buyers or Home Sellers. Less than 6 months, the market is tipped in the Sellers favor, otherwise known as a “Sellers Market”. More than 6 month supply is viewed as a “Buyers Market”.
As home prices or the cost of buying a home, (rising interest rates), increase – sales will start to slow putting downward pressure on pricing. Markets are always in a state of flux, moving from one market to another and rarely stopping at “balanced” for long.
While there is typically a lag period between market shifts, the lag time is shorter as the number of sales are increasing. Home sellers quickly see an improving market and strive to maximize the price they can ask. When prices increase too fast or too far ahead of sales, potential home buyer’s become reluctant to make offers, fearing they could be buying at the peak.
DISCOUNT FROM ASKING PRICE
In 2018, when negotiating a sale price with buyers; home sellers are discounting their listed price an average of 2%. One year ago, sellers needed to discount an average 2.4% off their asking price to close a sale.
For example, this ratio means if a home is listed at $400,000 it’s selling at an average of 98% of their asking price, or $392,000. a discount of $8,000. This metric also shows a strong and improving real estate market here in the Desert.
When we look at the story each of these metrics are showing for the Desert Real Estate Market, we can see an improving but pretty balanced market. In addition, we can see that the market has had and continues to show sustained growth. Making now the right time to be a participant in the market.
The Desert Lifestyle is unlike any other, as we head into our season now is a great time see what the Desert has to offer. Check out these FAB Desert Homes!
Palm Springs Aerial Tram Road Challenge
October 27, 2018 starting at 7:00 a.m.
If you’re looking for a challenge, then this event is for you! The Palm Springs Aerial Tram Road Challenge 6K run / walk starts at 400 ft elevation and climbs to over 2,600 ft elevation. This is not your typical weekend 5k. This is the 32nd annual event with more than 1,500 participants from around the world come together each year to take the challenge.
Nestled at the base of the San Jacinto Mountains, Palm Springs is known for its crystal blue skies, year-round sunshine, palm tree lined streets and starry nights. Home to the Annual Palm Springs International Film Festival & Modernism Week, Palm Springs has fun & entertainment for all ages. Be a part of what makes Palm Springs the place to be, check out these FAB Homes for sale in Palm Springs
Halloween Chili Cook Off and Car Show at the Palm Springs Air Museum
October 27 from 11:00 – 2:00
Join the fun at the Palm Springs Air Museum’s 11th Annual Chili Cook-Off and Car Show. Volunteers from the Museum cook up their favorite recipes and you decide who’s is the best. It’s a goolish feast for the eyes and the tummy.
Palm Springs is known for its crystal blue skies, year-round sunshine, palm tree lined streets and starry nights. Home to the Annual Palm Springs International Film Festival & Modernism Week, Shopping, Fun and Entertainment for all ages. Be a part of the Palm Springs Lifestyle, check out these FAB homes in Palm Springs
Summer Desert Market Report – Mediam home prices rose for the 8th straight month. Up 9.6% from last year. The hottest cities for sales by volume were Palm Desert (233), Palm Springs (213), La Quinta (156), Indio (131), Rancho Mirage (97). Each city and each community has its own story some communities have seen huge growth, while others are relatively flat. The cities that had the largest price increases, have seen the number of sales flatten, which tells us that prices were getting ahead of the market.
Inventories are down again putting upward pressure on pricing. Overall the desert has seen a decline in the time it’s taking to sell, nicely presented homes in a good location and priced well are selling quickly. Currently there is a 3 month supply of homes for sale in the desert, which puts us in a “Sellers Market” as we head into season.
The Fed has indicated there will likely be two more interest rate increases before the end of the year, which could start to weigh on the market and slow sales until the shock is absorbed.
Southern California and specifically, the Coachella Valley continues to be a sought after destination for a second home get a way.
As we head into our “Season”, we expect to see continued strong home sales and price appreciation valley-wide.
How’s your neighborhood doing? Send me an email, I’ve got the details!
What is a 1031 Exchange and can it work for you?
Thanks to IRC Section 1031, a properly structured 1031 exchange allows an investor to sell a property, to reinvest the proceeds in a new property, and to defer capital gain taxes.
1031 EXCHANGE FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTORS – THE BENEFITS
Whether an investor’s property is owned free and clear or encumbered, the benefits of a tax deferred exchange can be significant. The tax dollars saved by doing an exchange can be used to buy additional investment property.
An investor who exchanges is able to defer the capital gain tax and buy a replacement property worth more than the investor who simply sells and reinvests with after tax dollars.
1031 Exchange for real estate investors provides one of the best tax strategies for preserving the value of an investment portfolio. By using an exchange, the investor is able to defer the recognition of capital gain taxes that would otherwise be due with the sale of an investment property. To qualify as an exchange the relinquished and replacement properties must be qualified “like-kind” properties and the transaction must be structured as an exchange.
1031 EXCHANGE FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTORS – NON TAX BENEFITS
In addition to deferring the capital gain tax, tax deferred exchanges provide the investor with a wide range of non-tax opportunities that may suit an investor’s portfolio
- Reposition assets
- Change property types
- Increase leverage
- Increase depreciation deduction
- Reduce management obligations
- Provide for estate and retirement planning
- Allow for relocation
- Improve cash flow
- Achieve property consolidation or diversification
- Eliminate or create joint ownership
THE EXCHANGE PROCESS
Most exchanges, involve three parties: the investor, (exchanger), who is doing the exchange, the buyer who is buying the exchanger’s old (relinquished) property, and the seller who is selling the exchanger a new (replacement) property. To create the exchange of assets and to obtain the benefit of the “Safe Harbor” protections of the tax code, it is wise to employ an Exchange Accomodator, or Exchange Facilitator. This qualified intermediary becomes a fourth party principal in both simultaneous and delayed exchanges.
The steps for completing an exchange are relatively simple with qualified intermediary:
- The exchanger signs a contract to sell a relinquished property to the buyer.
- Exchanger enters into an exchange agreement with a Qualified Intermediary and assigns rights in the sale contract to the intermediary, including the right to receive the exchange funds.
- At the closing of the relinquished property, the exchange funds are wired to the intermediary and the intermediary instructs the settlement officer to transfer the deed directly from the exchanger to the buyer.
- The exchanger has a maximum of 180 days in the exchange period to acquire all replacement property.
- Unless the exchanger can acquire all replacement property within the first 45 days from the close of the relinquished property, the exchanger must identify possible replacement properties in writing to the intermediary within the 45 day identification period.
- The exchanger signs a contract to buy the replacement property with the seller and the exchanger assigns the exchanger’s rights in the purchase contract to the intermediary.
- At the closing of the replacement property, the intermediary wires the exchange funds to complete the exchange and the intermediary instructs the settlement officer to transfer the deed directly from the seller to the exchanger.
As a general rule of thumb, to avoid paying capital gain taxes in an exchange, the investor should always attempt to:
- Buy a property of equal or greater value, (net sales price).
- Reinvest all of the net equity in replacement property
- Obtain equal or greater debt on replacement property.
*Exceptions: A reduction in debt can be offset with additional cash from exchanger, but increasing debt cannot offset a reduction in exchange equity.
Do you own an investment property and thinking about selling it to buy another that might have more cash flow or less management headaches? We can help. Give me a call or send me an email, let’s talk about what’s possible for your situation.
Cathi and Ben Walter
(760) 218 – 5752
Ever wonder how much income you need to buy an average home in other areas of the country?
@HowMuch.net just published a map showing How much income you need to buy the average home in each state in the U.S.
They collected average home prices for every state from Zillow and then plugged that information into a mortgage calculator to figure out monthly payments. The interest rates used varied from 4 to 5% depending on the market, a 10% down payment, and total cost of housing not exceeding more than 30% of gross income. Using this rule as the benchmark, they calculated the minimum salary required to afford the average home in each state.
The Top Three Places Where You Need the Highest Salaries to Afford the Average Home 1. Hawaii: $153,520 for a house worth $610,000 2. Washington, DC: $138,440 for a house worth $549,000 3. California: $120,120 for a house worth $499,900 Here’s a quick snapshot of housing affordability across the United States.
Home much income do you need to buy the average home in each state; Check it out!
Home Design Trends for 2018 – Each year Fixr conducts a national survey of home industry influencers in the US; those who are building, designing, manufacturing and publishing content relevant to the field, revealing single family home design and construction trends.
Gen X’ers are the most likely group to buy a single family home with Millennials representing the second largest group in the 2018 Fixr Survey. There are many reports that show Millennials are driving the current market.
In 2018 more home buyers are looking for single story homes with more than 2,000 sq ft with an open floor plan and they want to live in urban areas.
Smart home features and automation are gaining traction at an incredible rate and is the number one choice for popular home design trends going forward.
Green and Energy Efficient Design is important to both Gen X and Millennials, but more so for the Millennials with Smart Thermostats, Home Automation Security, Lighting Control Systems, Smart Appliances.
Artificial intelligence and voice control systems will start showing up in homes in 2018.
The open floor plan has been the most popular layout since 2013 and will continue to grow going forward.
For current homeowners, when it comes to affordable upgrades, energy efficient upgrades and style enhancements were popular.
Dimmable lighting allows the homeowner to influence the mood of a room at all times of the day and night. Wireless hubs and concealed components are considered to be integral in nearly every home.
Adding energy efficient windows were another popular trend for homeowners.
Adding outdoor living spaces will be a popular addition in 2018 with more Millennials looking for indoor / outdoor living.
Home Buyers are beginning to expect both function and aesthetics, while function is the primary goal, aesthetics go a long way toward providing comfort and personal expression.
There is a delicate balancing act for home builders between homes that are aesthetically pleasing to the eye vs energy efficient homes that may feel cold or impersonal.
Most designers agree that form should always follow function and the most successful home design blends the two attributes creating a cohesive design, enhancing the homeowners experience in the space.
Get more information about what today’s home buyers are looking for before you put your home on the market. Give me a ring, I’m happy to share my knowledge and experience to help elevate your home above the competition (760) 218 – 5752.
What the Dodd-Frank Rollback Means for Real Estate
On May 22nd, Congress passed reforms to the Dodd-Frank Act, the massive financial reform bill enacted in July of 2010 in the wake of the 2008 US financial crisis.
The current bill could have a big impact on the real estate and mortgage lending. Economists believe the rollback of the Dodd-Frank regulations could lend a hand toward partially solving the industry’s inventory crisis.
“This is a win for the financial industry,” said Chief Economist Nela Richardson, who worked on the bill as an economist for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “These are community banks, credit unions, a lot of them are in rural areas. They do a lot of mortgage lending. This will help consumers in that the banks will be able to free up some credit.”
National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Lawrence Yun echoed Richardson, adding that a loosening of Dodd-Frank rules may lead to a rise in regional construction.
“The regulations placed on small-size community banks were terrible because it hindered small-sized homebuilders from obtaining construction loans,” he said. “As the homebuilding industry has become more dominated by large corporations, now we have this relief, which means that, small-time homebuilders will have better access to capital to build homes.”
Economists seem to agree, that the economy is not on track to repeat the financial crisis of 2008, since big banks were at the center of the collapse a decade ago. Richardson explained that the only way to eliminate all risk is to make everything as onerous as possible.
The legislation will also require Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider the use of alternative credit scoring models, which could help borrowers with thin credit files receive a mortgage. But Gardner said he’s concerned, ultimately, we need to remain aware of looser credit restrictions so the country does not repeat the acts of the last financial crisis, where homeowners were given loans they could not pay back.
Coachella Valley opens the Kim Nicols Trail, the first new major hiking trail in 10 years.
After a four year effort to create the trail with over $150,000 in funding from the Coachella Valley Mountains Conservancy and help from volunteers with Friends of the Desert Mountains, the new Kim Nicol Trail is now open.
Kim spent 35 years in the Coachella Valley devoted to protecting the area’s endangered species and open spaces, she was passionate about opening access to people so they could learn more about the plants and animals that are unique to the desert. Kim ultimately became Fish and Game Regional Manager and passed away from cancer before she could see her dream come to fruition.
The Kim Nicol Trail is a 5.6-mile loop, located at the intersection of 20th Ave and Corkhill Rd in Desert Edge, just outside Desert Hot Springs. It’s mostly a gentle hike with a steep climb at the beginning with mild elevation gains as you go. A lot of the hike is in a sand dune so the most challenging part is that its hard walk in the sand, you get really tired easily. But the beauty is worth the hike, ringed by mountains on three sides and beautiful Vistas of the Valley in the distance.
More and more, the Coachella Valley has become the destination for nature enthusiasts; younger generations want to enjoy the beauty and nature of our valley and the new Kim Nicols Trail is the newest addition to all that the beauty the Coachella Valley has to offer.
Palm Springs Modernism Week 2018 – It’s cool, iconic and modern. The February festival is an exciting 11-day celebration of midcentury modern design, architecture, art, fashion, and culture. Events include the Modernism Show & Sale, tours of iconic homes, architectural walking and double-decker bus tours, a world-class lecture & film series, tours of the historic Annenberg Estate at Sunnylands, a Palm Springs Walk of Stars dedication, classic cars, garden tours, a vintage travel trailer exhibition, and much more.
The mission of the Palm Springs Modernism Week 2018 is to celebrate and foster appreciation of midcentury architecture and design, as well as contemporary thinking in these fields, by encouraging education, preservation and sustainable modern living as represented in the greater Palm Springs area
Located in North Palm Springs is one of the city’s best-kept secrets in Little Tuscany set on .57 acre with Stunning Mountain Views. Built in 1939 and remodeled in 2017.
Check out some of the Palm Springs Modernism Week 2018 upcoming events!
Rat Pack Playground – Modernist Homes in Vista Las Palmas
February 15, 2018 | 9:30 am – 11:30 am
Stars and Star-chitects in Deepwell
February 15, 2018 | 9:30 am – 12:00 pm
Preview Party at the 18th Annual Modernism Show & Sale
February 16, 2018 | 6:00 pm – 9:00 pm
The Big Reveal Party at the West Elm House 2018: The Pool House
February 16, 2018 | 8:00 pm – 10:00 pm
Modernism Week Showcase Home – Moroccan Modern
February 17, 2018 | 9:00 am – 1:00 pm
Sagewood: A Donald Wexler tour
February 17, 2018 | 10:00 am – 3:00 pm
Alan Hess Presentation on Frank Lloyd Wright
February 18, 2018 | 9:00 am – 10:00 am
Ask an Interior Designer
February 18, 2018 | 10:00 am – 4:00 pm
Thunderbird North Home Tour – Architects William Cody and Donald Wexler
February 19, 2018 | 9:00 am – 4:00 pm
Wexler Residence – Palm Springs Modern Committee Iconic Home Tour
February 19, 2018 | 10:00 am – 2:00 pm
Boom Town: The Story of Uptown Palm Springs
February 23, 2018 | 9:30 am – 11:30 am
Steel & Glass 2018 Home Tour
February 24, 2018 | 10:00 am – 3:00 pm
Premier Double Decker Architectural Bus Tour
February 25, 2018 | 9:00 am – 3:30 pm
The Palm Springs Modernism Week 2018 is staged and set to amaze, don’t miss this popular event!